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Zambia vs Morocco prediction today 24.01.24 AFCON tips

Zambia needed an 89th-minute penalty to salvage a point against Tanzania on matchday 2, which leaves them needing a win here against Morocco in their final group game if they are to have any chance of making it to the next round. The 2012 Winners have become draw specialists since then, with seven of their last 8 AFCON matches ending in stalemates. Chipololopolo have their work cut out here as they will be without the services of defender Rodrick Kabwe who was sent off after picking up two needless yellow cards in the space of 11 first-half minutes against Tanzania.

Morocco who are one of the pre-tournament favorites missed out on a chance to win Group F outright after being held to a 1-1 draw by DR Congo in their second match. The Atlas Lions were surprisingly second-best for the better part of the 2nd half of this match and had their keeper Yassine Bounou pulling a couple of great saves to keep the scores even. That said, they still lead Group F with 4 points and have their fate in their own hands going into this last group game.

Things have gotten quite interesting in this group. All 4 teams are in with a chance coming into this final round of group matches. Given the stakes at play, we expect a game with very tight margins here. Morocco have been in great form and have done well against the Zambians over the years. As such, although a tight encounter is expected, we fancy Morocco to come out unscathed here. As such we are backing them to edge this with a 0-2 win.

There have been plenty of upsets in the opening rounds of AFCON. Play it safe the rest of the way with our well-researched and reliable AFCON tips if you are looking to win!

Main tip: Correct Score 1-2

Our Zambia vs Morocco predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Correct Score 1-2

Morocco are unbeaten in their last 7 straight matches (5W, 2D). They have also scored at least twice in 4 of their last 5 matches

Zambia meantime haven’t been winning a lot but they have found the back of the net in all but one of their last 10 games.

With both teams still in contention for qualification, we can expect them to have a go at each other here. Morocco nevertheless have the edge in terms of the qualification matrix from the group. We expect them to control the tempo here and although the game is likely to be tight we fancy them to get the job done. Hence why we are backing Morocco to win by a 0-2 correct score with competitive prices for this market offered at 1win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Correct Score 1-2”

The odd of 8.00 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 13% chance that Morocco will win this match with a correct score of 1-2

Odds comparison for Correct Score 1-2

1Win – odd 8.00
Betwinner – odd 7.50

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Prediction 2: Most Goals – 2nd Half

A close opening half is to be expected here given the magnitude of this fixture. Neither team will be willing to cede too much ground at the start

However, as the 2nd half unfolds, the realization of the need to secure qualification will bite hard for both teams and they will throw everything including the kitchen sink at each other.

With this in mind, we are backing this game to have at more goals scored in the 2nd half than the 1st half with terrific odds for this option available at Paripesa

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Most Goals – 2nd Half”

The odd of 2.07 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 48% chance that there will be more goals scored in 2nd half of this match than in the 1st half

Odds comparisons Most Goals – 2nd Half

Paripesa – odd 2.07
Bet365 – odd 2.05

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Prediction 3: Zambia Over 2.5 Bookings

Zambia come into this game needing all three points to stand a chance of making it to the next round. Morocco, not quite. In fact, even a point could see them through.

Against Tanzania in the last match, the Zambians were quite reckless and ended the game with 10 men after defender Kabwe was given his marching orders in the 1st half for picking up a double booking.

We expect them to be chasing this game and with desperation likely to start weighing them down in the 2nd half, we are backing Zambia to pick up at least 3 bookings as our final Zambia vs Morocco prediction for this match

Statistics for Zambia vs Morocco Prediction

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

Morocco have won 5, Zambia have won 3 and 2 games were drawn

These matches have averaged 2.40 goals a game

The last meeting was during CHAN 2021 and it ended 3-1 in favor of Morocco

Latest results Zambia

1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

8 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.60 goals per match

Drew 1-1 with Tanzania on matchday 2

Latest results Morocco

Unbeaten in the last 5 with 4 wins and a draw

12 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 2.40 goals per match

Drew 1-1 with DR Congo in their last match

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Possible squad Zambia & Morocco

Line upZambia Morocco GoalkeeperMulengaBounouDefenseChepeshi, Sunzu, Phiri, MusondaHakimi, Aguerd, Saïss, ChibiMidfieldKapumbu, Sakala, Kangwa, E. Banda, L. BandaAmrabat, Boufal, Ounahi, Amallah, ZiyechForwardDakaEn-NesyriMissingKabwe (Red Card)NoneCoachAvram GrantWalid Regragui

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Author: Brian Parker