Morocco pipped Zambia 1-0 on the final day of Group F matches to go top of the group with 2 wins and a draw. The Atlas Lions are one of the pre-tournament favorites and although they haven’t quite lit up their group but they still did enough to get the job done in the group and will now be looking to build on that in this knockout round.
South Africa have looked far from convincing in this AFCON. They bounced back after losing the opener to Mali with a huge 3-0 win against Namibia in their second group match. They however had flat tires in the final group game against Tunisia which ended goalless but was enough to get them the ticket to this round of 16. They have their work cut out against the top-ranked team in Africa.
Despite the misgivings about Morocco, they are still unbeaten and have grown in stature as the tournament progressed. They have a solid defence and they are good enough upfront to get the result here. Althought a cagey affair is expected we are backing Morocco to edge this with a win as our main Morocco vs South Africa prediction.
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Main tip: Morocco Win
Our Morocco vs South Africa predictions
According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:
Prediction 1: Morocco Win
Morocco are unbeaten in their last 8 straight matches (5W, 3D).
With both teams still in contention for qualification, we can expect them to have a go at each other here. Morocco nevertheless have the edge in terms of the qualification matrix from the group. We expect them to control the tempo here and although the game is likely to be tight we fancy them to get the job done. Hence why we are backing Morocco to win this game with competitive prices for this market offered at 1win
Odds for this bet
1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Morocco Win”
The odd of 1.65 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 13% chance that Morocco will win this match with a correct score of 1-2
Odds comparison for Morocco Win
1Win – odd 1.65
Betwinner – odd 1.62
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Prediction 2: Most Goals – 2nd Half
A close opening half is to be expected here given the magnitude of this fixture. Neither team will be willing to cede too much ground at the start
However, as the 2nd half unfolds, the realization of the need to secure qualification will bite hard for both teams and they will throw everything including the kitchen sink at each other.
With this in mind, we are backing this game to have at more goals scored in the 2nd half than the 1st half with terrific odds for this option available at Paripesa
Odds for this bet
Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Most Goals – 2nd Half”
The odd of 2.07 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 48% chance that there will be more goals scored in 2nd half of this match than in the 1st half
Odds comparisons Most Goals – 2nd Half
Paripesa – odd 2.07
Bet365 – odd 2.05
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Prediction 3: Zambia Over 2.5 Bookings
Zambia come into this game needing all three points to stand a chance of making it to the next round. Morocco, not quite. In fact, even a point could see them through.
Against Tanzania in the last match, the Zambians were quite reckless and ended the game with 10 men after defender Kabwe was given his marching orders in the 1st half for picking up a double booking.
We expect them to be chasing this game and with desperation likely to start weighing them down in the 2nd half, we are backing Zambia to pick up at least 3 bookings as our final Zambia vs Morocco prediction for this match
Statistics for Morocco vs South Africa Prediction
Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:
Morocco have won 5, Zambia have won 3 and 2 games were drawn
These matches have averaged 2.40 goals a game
The last meeting was during CHAN 2021 and it ended 3-1 in favor of Morocco
Latest results Morocco
1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
8 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.60 goals per match
Drew 1-1 with Tanzania on matchday 2
Latest results South Africa
Unbeaten in the last 5 with 4 wins and a draw
12 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 2.40 goals per match
Drew 1-1 with DR Congo in their last match
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Possible squad Zambia & Morocco
Line upMorocco South AfricaGoalkeeperBounouWilliamsDefenseHakimi, Aguerd, Saïss, ChibiMudau, Kekana, Mvala, ModibaMidfieldAmrabat, Boufal, Ounahi, Amallah, ZiyechMokoena, Sithole, Morena, TauForwardEn-NesyriZwane, MakgopaMissingKabwe (Red Card)NoneCoachWalid RegraguiHugo Broos
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